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AI / ML89% forecast accuracy

Predictive Analytics Dashboard

ML-Driven Revenue Forecasting for Executive Decision-Making

Machine LearningNext.jsFastAPIAWS

Project Overview

A regional distribution company's finance team was building quarterly budgets from last year's numbers and intuition. The CFO wanted ML-driven forecasts so the board could allocate resources with confidence. The challenge: three years of messy, inconsistent CSV exports and eight product lines with different seasonal patterns.

The Challenges

  • 1

    Three years of raw CSV exports with inconsistent column schemas and missing values

  • 2

    Seasonal patterns varied significantly across 8 distinct product lines

  • 3

    Executive team needed a zero-learning-curve UI — no data science background

  • 4

    Model needed to explain its predictions, not just output numbers

Our Approach

We built a data cleaning and feature engineering pipeline in pandas, trained gradient boosting models (XGBoost) on the cleaned historical data, and wrapped everything in a Next.js dashboard served by FastAPI. Each forecast includes confidence intervals and a plain-language summary of the top contributing factors.

Key Features & Metrics

Gradient boosting model trained on 36 months of cleaned sales history

Per-SKU and category-level quarterly forecasts with confidence intervals

Plain-language AI commentary explaining each forecast's key drivers

One-click CSV export formatted for board presentation

Automated weekly model retraining as new sales data comes in

Forecast accuracy improved from 62% baseline to 89%

Results & Business Outcome

Forecast accuracy rose from 62% to 89%. Inventory over-ordering dropped 31%, freeing $240K in working capital. The CFO now presents ML-generated projections to the board every quarter.

When business decisions are built on accurate predictions instead of assumptions, every resource allocation becomes a competitive advantage rather than a calculated gamble.
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